Irreversible investment and information acquisition under uncertainty
نویسنده
چکیده
We examine the agent’s investment level in a project with potential high-risk consequences. In order to reduce uncertainty, the agent may acquire costly information. We first find that both a very optimistic agent (who thinks that the damage has low probability to occur) and a very pessimistic agent never acquire information because information is not valuable for them. Yet, with information, the agent’s investment is higher than the one he would make without. We then show that information acquisition may be motivated by a lower cost of information acquisition, a lower damage cost, higher marginal revenue and better information precision.
منابع مشابه
Investment, Uncertainty, and Irreversibility in Ghana, IMF Staff Papers, September 1998
Panel data on Ghanaian manufacturing firms are used to test predictions from models of irreversible investment under uncertainty. Information on the entrepreneur’s subjective probability distribution over future demand for the firm’s products is used to construct the expected variance of demand, which is used as a measure of uncertainty. Empirical results support the prediction that firms wait ...
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تاریخ انتشار 2009